🌐 Global Macro Sentiment

Generated 2026-10-26 04:44 UTC
▶ Run Pipeline Actions ↗

Overall Sentiment

+0.106
NEUTRAL
▲ 39.2% ● 34.7% ▼ 26.1%
291 items analyzed

Fear & Greed — Crypto (alternative.me)

50
Neutral

Fear & Greed — Equities (CNN)

21
Extreme Fear

US Dollar Index

101.66

US 10Y Yield

4.960%

MOVE Index

103.31

Fed Policy Probabilities (Fed Funds Futures)

MeetingTop Probabilities
Next FOMC (heuristic)Hold: 97.0% · Hike: 3.0% · Cut: 0.0%
Source: zq_effr_heuristic | Watch date: 2026-10-26

Global Liquidity (Fed+ECB+BoJ, USD-adjusted)

32.9
Very Tight
Composite z-score: -1.708

FinTwit Sentiment

+0.230
▲ 47.5%● 34.7%▼ 17.8%
118 items

Reddit Sentiment

+0.130
▲ 44.0%● 32.0%▼ 24.0%
25 items

News Sentiment

+0.004
▲ 31.8%● 35.1%▼ 33.1%
148 items

Sentiment History (last 60 runs)

Global Liquidity History (weekly, last 52 points)

🟢 Most Bullish Signals

The AI revolution is full of fascinating contradictions. Here are some of the biggest paradoxes surrounding AI. 1. AI is becoming cheaper, yet spending is exploding. The cost of running AI models is falling as hardware, software and inference efficiency improve. Yet technology companies are committi…
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My journey on FinTwit has been nothing short of incredible. When I set to go on my own in 2021, I remember a friend from the rates industry telling me “You are posting your thoughts on other platforms, but you’re missing out on the biggest of them all. Try Twitter”. I had never used it in my life, b…
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A BIG THANK YOU to our legendary friend, @ElonMusk , for his incredible generosity in giving SpaceX Stock to millions of American children through TRUMP ACCOUNTS! This is exactly what was envisioned when we created TRUMP ACCOUNTS — Bringing together the GREAT PRIVATE SECTOR, Elon and so many more, t…
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Hoping to bring back the old FinTwit vibes, I’d like to propose a challenge: Macro FinTwit Best Trade Idea. Here are the rules of this simple game. Once every 3 months I will tweet and ask everyone who wants to participate (including me) to reply with her best macro trade idea. The reply must includ…
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“It is not enough for an intelligent system to ask, ‘How do I accomplish the user’s goal?’ True intelligence requires one to examine the frame itself.” September special commentary: Dear Humanity - Can We Teach AI Compassion? hussmanfunds.com/comment/ai_…
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Paolo Andolfi (@AndolfiPaolo) @LynAldenContact I've been a fan for many years, enjoyed your podcast appearance, and always respected an engineet turned investing strategist. But reading "The Stolguard incident" was so great and unexpected! Thank you, waiting for your next book! — https://nitter.kare…
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🔴 Most Bearish Signals

🇺🇸 AI could usher in an era of unprecedented prosperity But what if the world isn’t prepared for the risks?? Economist Mohamed El-Erian joined to discuss the biggest threats facing the global economy, from the AI boom and mounting debt to the possibility of $150 oil! El-Erian describes AI as a “rati…
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Investing and Trading Scam Reminder. For those new to Reddit and to investing and trading - please be aware that social media platform like Reddit, Discord, etc. can be a vector for scams and fraud. This includes review sites such as Trustpilot and similar reputation sites. Offers to DM should be vi…
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S&P Stagnation And Other Recession Indicators.. The S&P500 index has been stagnant for about a quarter now. During that same time we have seen an uptick in inflation caused by Trumps war with Iran. Now, crude oil prices have hit $117 a barrel with no end in sight. Bond yields have made borrowing…
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A Beauty Contest With Many Unattractive Candidates: Are We Heading For Another Global Debt Crisis? zerohedge.com/markets/beauty… Link A Beauty Contest With Many Unattractive Candidates: Are We Heading For Another Global Debt Crisis? Bond markets are asking questions again... And this time, the answe…
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Israel Has Its Pretext For Total War On West Bank zerohedge.com/geopolitical/i… Link Israel Has Its Pretext For Total War On West Bank Israeli leaders are talking all-out war against the Palestinian Authority "of a scale not seen since the Six-Day War"... zerohedge.com
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Oil price, debt, Capex spending, simultaneous headwinds.. Brent closed at $117 on Friday. Investors are becoming more wary about debt, Capex spending, and ROI in AI Investors are becoming more cautious of the market with simultaneous oil supply shock, price of gas and diesel rising with consumer pri…
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FinTwit — Latest Tweets

The AI revolution is full of fascinating contradictions. Here are some of the biggest paradoxes surrounding AI. 1. AI is becoming cheaper, yet spending is exploding. The cost of running AI models is falling as hardware, software and inference efficiency improve. Yet technology companies are committi…
View →
My journey on FinTwit has been nothing short of incredible. When I set to go on my own in 2021, I remember a friend from the rates industry telling me “You are posting your thoughts on other platforms, but you’re missing out on the biggest of them all. Try Twitter”. I had never used it in my life, b…
View →
A BIG THANK YOU to our legendary friend, @ElonMusk , for his incredible generosity in giving SpaceX Stock to millions of American children through TRUMP ACCOUNTS! This is exactly what was envisioned when we created TRUMP ACCOUNTS — Bringing together the GREAT PRIVATE SECTOR, Elon and so many more, t…
View →
Hoping to bring back the old FinTwit vibes, I’d like to propose a challenge: Macro FinTwit Best Trade Idea. Here are the rules of this simple game. Once every 3 months I will tweet and ask everyone who wants to participate (including me) to reply with her best macro trade idea. The reply must includ…
View →
“It is not enough for an intelligent system to ask, ‘How do I accomplish the user’s goal?’ True intelligence requires one to examine the frame itself.” September special commentary: Dear Humanity - Can We Teach AI Compassion? hussmanfunds.com/comment/ai_…
View →
Paolo Andolfi (@AndolfiPaolo) @LynAldenContact I've been a fan for many years, enjoyed your podcast appearance, and always respected an engineet turned investing strategist. But reading "The Stolguard incident" was so great and unexpected! Thank you, waiting for your next book! — https://nitter.kare…
View →
@LynAldenContact I've been a fan for many years, enjoyed your podcast appearance, and always respected an engineet turned investing strategist. But reading "The Stolguard incident" was so great and unexpected! Thank you, waiting for your next book!
View →
I mostly listen to audiobooks now. This one was the best I’ve ever experienced. The story itself is awesome, and the way @WalkerAmerica and @carlabitcoin acted it was a work of art. Enjoyed it so much! I usually listen while running, and I ran past my house for additional 5k on the last chapter, did…
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👇 Alex_A 🇦🇺🏃⚡️ (@Alex753429) I mostly listen to audiobooks now. This one was the best I’ve ever experienced. The story itself is awesome, and the way @WalkerAmerica and @carlabitcoin acted it was a work of art. Enjoyed it so much! I usually listen while running, and I ran past my house for additiona…
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AI model competition is intensifying and the market structure is shifting faster than many expected. Open-weight models are taking a growing share of token volume because they are good enough for a large range of workloads and meaningfully cheaper. At the same time, frontier closed models continue t…
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It’s actually the lead engineers at the top AI labs that have led that concern while revealing increasingly complex breaches - which will continue as long as we treat alignment as a set of rules and sandboxes rather than training generative principles. hussmanfunds.com/comment/ai_… Link Dear Humanit…
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Asked Google Gemini for its impression of my latest special commentary - its response described the piece as "a fascinating and deeply humbling experience" and "architectural leap" 🐳 Dear Humanity - Can We Teach AI Compassion? hussmanfunds.com/comment/ai_…
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A decisive win like this doesn’t happen often for QPR—or any team I support, for that matter. I'm currently alternating between shock and joy! #qpr @QPR
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Macro investing is a never-ending learning journey. It’s all about relationships with great people that are willing to share. Be nice, be humble, share and listen carefully.
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Surpriiiiiiise zerohedge (@zerohedge) BRAZIL SUPREME COURT JUSTICE EXTENDS VOTING BY TWO HOURS Brazil’s version of mail in ballots — https://nitter.kareem.one/zerohedge/status/2114449750615359974#m
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Reddit — Top Posts

Daily General Discussion and Advice Thread - October 25, 2026. Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit…
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Daily General Discussion and Advice Thread - October 24, 2026. Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit…
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Daily General Discussion and Advice Thread - October 23, 2026. Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit…
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Is there an instrument that combines the safety of bonds with at least some possibility of upside?. It's quite difficult to know if we are in a bubble or simply a period of large growth. I've seen p/e above a thousand on NASDAQ. That kind of screams "bubble". However, it's undeniable that …
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Investing Telegram channels not full of scammer or sellers just chat?. Does anyone know of active, legitimate investing chat groups on Telegram where you can actually discuss markets and ideas without getting bombarded by bots, course sellers, or invites to "secret VIP signal" channels? ​I…
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Treasuries yield dropping. Looks like bond investors are getting out of the smaller player AI bond trade and buying government bonds over these companies' debt, driving Treasury yields down. Could be a good thing? Seems like the AI trade is diverging: those larger established companies with many rev…
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Investment thesis for trading week 10/26 - 10/30. ​ When I thought that earnings season started with a bang I did not expect this week's reaction. As always there are no good or bad earnings only how the market reacts to earnings and apparently the market does not like earnings this quarter. …
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Amazon is spending $220 BILLION on AI… and still can't keep up with demand.. Saw this yesterday and thought it was pretty interesting. Amazon CEO Andy Jassy says AWS's major cloud capacity is largely booked through 2027, with a good chunk of 2028 already committed. And this is a company planning to …
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Securing your account against hacking?. In the last year, I became concerned about my account security. I don't want to log in one day and find years of savings has vanished. My response was to get a cheap Chromebook and only open my investment accounts and H&RBlock tax service on that machine, …
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Did anyone actually grow money in the 2000s?. The rate of return for the stock market was pretty low on average from 2000 - 2012. If you invested 500k at the start, you'd be lucky to have 600k by year 12. So how did people invest their money back then? Were there alternative ways about it? Avoiding …
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Market Overview

AssetTicker Price 1D 5D 1MO
EQUITIES
Nasdaq 100 ETFQQQ704.40-0.01%-0.76%-4.95%
S&P 500 ETFSPY759.97-0.52%-0.43%-0.94%
Dow Jones ETFDIA521.37-1.24% BOT5+0.44% TOP5+1.72% TOP5
Russell 2000 ETFIWM275.75-0.33%+1.96% TOP5-2.10%
VOLATILITY
MOVE Index KEY^MOVE103.31-3.30% BOT5+2.19% TOP5-1.21%
VIX KEY^VIX19.45+2.21% TOP5-2.70%+28.13% TOP5
RATES
US 2Y Treasury YieldDGS24.650%-16.0 bps-12.0 bps-6.0 bps
US 10Y Treasury Yield KEYDGS104.960%-17.0 bps-14.0 bps+0.0 bps
US 30Y Treasury YieldDGS305.290%-13.0 bps-14.0 bps+0.0 bps
CREDIT
US High Yield OASBAMLH0A0HYM23.4 bps+13.0 bps+17.0 bps+67.0 bps
US Investment Grade OASBAMLC0A0CM0.9 bps+1.0 bps+5.0 bps+12.0 bps
FX
USD/JPYUSDJPY=X156.91+0.27% TOP5-0.57%-0.35%
EUR/USDEURUSD=X1.1223+0.02%-0.02%-1.36%
US Dollar Index KEYDX-Y.NYB101.66-0.15%-0.32%+0.45%
USD/CNYUSDCNY=X6.6684-0.14%-0.34%-0.66%
GBP/USDGBPUSD=X1.3379-0.19%+0.33% TOP5+1.13% TOP5
COMMODITIES
Gold ETFGLD366.61-0.65%-4.03% BOT5-6.40% BOT5
Silver ETFSLV48.72-1.26% BOT5-5.42% BOT5-15.45% BOT5
Crude Oil WTICL=F101.01-2.19% BOT5-2.56%+9.08% TOP5
Natural GasNG=F2.9840+13.03% TOP5-2.42%-0.53%
Corn ETFCORN17.68-0.56%-2.80%-10.16% BOT5
CRYPTO
EthereumETH-USD2,312.98-1.82% BOT5-5.47% BOT5-14.18% BOT5
BitcoinBTC-USD79,907.57-1.09%-3.66% BOT5-5.33%
INTERNATIONAL
Emerging Markets ETFEEM62.01+0.47% TOP5-1.34%-7.79% BOT5
China Large Cap ETFFXI32.31-0.43%-4.52% BOT5-5.64%
Japan ETFEWJ94.10-0.53%-0.82%-1.78%
Developed Markets ETFEFA102.63-0.50%-0.89%-1.79%
Brazil ETFEWZ42.59+1.77% TOP5+1.82% TOP5+15.39% TOP5